A Christmas Present

For a long time I've been assuming that Gordon Brown will hang on with his fingernails and only leave power when he absolutely has to.  Along with many others, I've already made money on this assumption.  Soon after Brown took over from Blair, there was a lot of ridiculous hype about an imminent election, during which I was able to get some money on at 10/1 that the election wouldn't be until 2010.

But now I'm wondering if the current government will quite carry on until the bitter end.  Theoretically there doesn't have to be an election until the first Thursday of June, but the latest quarterly economic growth figures, and the need to deliver a budget, can both be avoided if polling day is before the end of March.

Despite this, May remains the odds-on favourite, and March is generally available at 2/1.

Even better, as I write, Ladbrokes are offering 9/4 for a March election.  If you'd like to take advantage of this but don't already have an account with Ladbrokes, click on the button to receive a free bet when you join.